US Dollar Index, Gold and  Crude Oil Outlook.

The US Dollar Index

The US Dollar Index is in a primary up-trend, having broken through 80.5, and offers a target of 90.0. Reversal below the rising trendline is unlikely, but would warn of a test of primary support at 76.5.

Gold

A strengthening dollar usually signals gold weakness, but there are two factors that mitigate against this: continuing low interest rates (higher rates increase the attractiveness of alternative investments); and rising concern over sovereign debt, causing a flight to the (relative) safety of both gold and the dollar. Breakout above the declining trendline would signal a test of the January high at $1165, while reversal below support at $1080 signal a primary down-trend. A Momentum Oscillator (21-day) peak below zero would also warn of a trend reversal.New Target 1.025

Crude Oil

Crude retreating below the rising (green) trendline warns of trend weakness — and failure of primary support at $72 signal a primary down-trend. Recovery above $76, however, indicates another test of resistance at $80. New Target $68.

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• Gold (NYSE:GLD) Falls As Dollar Rebounds (benzinga.com)

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FOREX OUTLOOK for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GOLD, CRUDE OIL and US DOLLAR INDEX.

Gold

Gold retreated below short-term support at $1120 after breaking the rising trendline on the price chart and on Momentum Oscillator (5-day). Expect a test of primary support at $1080. Reversal above $1140 is unlikely, but would signal an advance to $1220.

Crude Oil

Crude retreated below the rising (green) trendline, signaling trend weakness. Also, the long-term Momentum Oscillator (13-week) displays a large bearish divergence, warning of a reversal. Failure of primary support at $72 would confirm.

Euro – EUR/USD

The primary cause of dollar strength is the euro, which broke through support at $1.42 — signaling the start of a primary down-trend. The Momentum strengthens the reversal signal. The initial target for the decline is $1.38.

Current Day Trading Session:

Momentum is continuing downward at the present time.

Next Day Trading Session:

If the next day’s close is above 1.4449 then that could be a sign that the current downward momentum is reversing.

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FOREX OUTLOOK for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GOLD, CRUDE OIL and US DOLLAR INDEX

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 US Dollar Index and Spot Gold Outlook.

Gold Rallies As Dollar Declines.

US Dollar Index

The US Dollar Index broke through resistance at 76 before consolidating in a narrow band. Consolidation above the new support level is a continuation signal, indicating a test of 77.50, but the index is once again testing support at 76 after a false breakout. Respect of support would signal that the primary down-trend is weakening, while failure would again test support at 75. In the longer term, breakout above 77.50 would indicate that the down-trend has ended. Reversal below 75, on the other hand, would offer a target of 74.

Spot Gold

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US Dollar Index and Spot Gold Outlook

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Forex Trade Alert.

Gold Rise As Dollar Falls

Gold,  USD/JPY,  Dollar Index

Gold

Spot gold shows signs of an accelerating up-trend, after three trendlines of increasing slope. Retracement respected support at $1040 and breakout above $1070 would indicate an advance to $1100. Reversal below $1040 is unlikely, but would test $1000. In the long term, the break above $1000 offers a target of $1300; failure of support at $985 is unlikely, but would warn of a primary trend reversal.

The only bearish sign is a divergence on Momentum Indicator (14-day), warning that the Market Vectors Gold Miners Index [GDX] has encountered selling pressure. Breakout above $50 would confirm the rise in spot gold, while reversal below $43 would signal a secondary correction (and bearish sign for gold). Divergences between gold miners and physical gold often forewarn of changes in the spot price.

Dollar Fall Continues

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Forex Market Outlook | Forex Market Recap for USD/JPY, Gold and Dollar Index

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FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK.

FOREX MARKET RECAP for EURO, DOLLAR INDEX and GOLD.

EURO

The euro is testing short-term resistance at $1.48; breakout is likely and would signal an advance to $1.50. Reversal below $1.44 is unlikely, but would warn of trend weakness — as would penetration of the rising trendline. In the long term, breakout above $1.50 would signal an advance to the 2008 high of $1.60.

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FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK | FOREX MARKET RECAP for EURO, DOLLAR INDEX and GOLD

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