Archive for December, 2008
Forex Trade Alert for – Symbol EUR/GBP.
Trade Alert for Tuesday Dec 16, 2008.
On Dec-16-2008 a candlestick formation confirmed a sell signal. 4xGenie Action: ==> Sell EUR/GBP @ 0.8869. Stop at 0.9036. Wave 1 or A could drop down to 0.8720 or to 0.8253.
The CCI is above 100. This currency pair is overbought at this time.
Next Day Trading Ranges for Tuesday Dec 16, 2008.
The 20 day moving average of the daily trading range is 130 Pips and the 60 day moving average of the daily trading range is 136 Pips. This shows that volatility has decreased in the short term. The percentage of updays when the open/low ratio is less than 25% is 83.78 percent. This means that if this currency pair does not drop more than 33 pips from the opening price then there is a 83.78 percent chance that this will be an upday.
The [R3] or the most extreme high trading range is 0.8979.
The [R2] or the extreme high trading range is 0.8970.
The [R1] or the high trading range is 0.8962.
The [P] or pivot point is 0.8953.
The [S1] or the low trading range is 0.8945.
The [S2] or the extreme low trading range is 0.8936.
The [S3] or the most extreme low trading range is 0.8928.
Next Day Alternate Stops for Tuesday Dec 16, 2008
4xGENIE is not currently in a trade.
Current Day Trading Session:
Momentum is continuing upward at the present time.
Next Day Trading Session:
If the next day’s close is below 0.87470 then that could be a sign that the current upward momentum is reversing.
ForexGenie – Forex Trade Alerts
EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook – Forex Trading, Currency Forecast, FX … – Above 0.9416 will flip bias back to the upside for testing 0.9494/9518 resistance zone., Forex, Forex Portal, Forex Trading. Forex Trading Recommendation, Forecast, Trading Signal, Forex Training Course, Education, Tutorial, FX Book, …
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The US Trade Balance
Thursday, December 11, 2008, 8:30 EST USA
Forex news Trade Alert
It is expected to Come out -$56.0 B. If it comes -$60.0 B or higher, EUR/USD should SPIKE up by 45 Pips.
If it Comes at -52.0 B or lower, EUR/USD should SPIKE dowon by 50 Pips.
The US Trade Balance refers to the difference between exports of goods and services out of the US, and imports to America. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the USs Balance of Payment, which gives valuable insight and heavy pressure on the value of the dollar.
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the US experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect dollars leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation of a dollar, unless countered by comparable capital inflows (US Net Foreign Security Purchases, or TICs data reports on such capital flows). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of US Trade Balance. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figures components are also typically well anticipated. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that month and not during the release of data. However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the more important reports out of the US .
The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in billion of dollars.
FOREX TRADE ALERT and FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK
for GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CAD.
FOREX TRADIN SYSTEM #7
USD/CAD.
Produced: Monday, December 08, 2008.
08-Dec-2008 o:1.274 h:1.2752 L:1.2448 c:1.2508 [-.0203]
Place a buy stop to buy 1 unit if price rises to 1.3008.
Green Line Long Exit Strategy: Close all long positions on close if price falls to 1.2477.
Place a sell stop to sell 1 unit if price falls to 1.2124.
Green Line Short Exit Strategy: Close all short positions on close if price rises to 1.2448
USD/CHF.
Produced: Monday, December 08, 2008.
08-Dec-2008 o:1.2204 h:1.2233 L:1.2016 c:1.205 [-.0152]
(No Long orders.)
Opposite Direction Long Exit Strategy: Close all long positions if price falls to 1.2015.
Place a sell stop to sell 1 unit if price falls to 1.1923.
Green Line Short Exit Strategy: Close all short positions on close if price rises to 1.2016
EUR/USD.
Produced: Monday, December 08, 2008.
08-Dec-2008 o:1.2722 h:1.2967 L:1.2719 c:1.2936 [+.0221]
Place a buy stop to buy 1 unit if price rises to 1.3081.
Red Line Long Exit Strategy: Close all long positions on close if close is 1.2752 or lower.
Place a sell stop to sell 2 units if price falls to 1.2548.
Opposite Direction Short Exit Strategy: Close all short positions if price rises to 1.2968.
GBP/USD
Produced: Monday, December 08, 2008.
08-Dec-2008 o:1.4723 h:1.5047 L:1.4679 c:1.489 [+.0206]
Place a buy stop to buy 1 unit if price rises to 1.5534.
Place a sell stop to sell 2 units if price falls to 1.4464.
Opposite Direction Short Exit Strategy: Close all short positions if price rises to 1.5048.
FOR MORE ALERTS ON JPY CURRENCY PAIRS AND ALL 7 SYSTEMS SING UP
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Important Notice
When trading it is important to know your risks. If you have only been trading for a short time it is highly recommended that you start with a demo account first. Forex trading is highly risky and normally it takes 3 – 5 years to become a successful forex trader. Only risk that which you can easily afford to lose. Forex trading is not a get rich quick scheme, but if managed carefully, it is an excellent investment.
Remember: NEWS OVERRIDES TECHNICAL ANALYSES !!!!!
http://www.4xgenie.com/News_Charts.html
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Forex Trade Alert for – Symbol GBP/CHF
Next Day Trading Ranges for Wednesday Dec 03, 2008.
The 20 day moving average of the daily trading range is 354 Pips and the 60 day moving average of the daily trading range is 381 Pips. This shows that volatility has decreased in the short term. The percentage of downdays when the open/high ratio is less than 25% is 78.88 percent. This means that if this currency pair does not rise more than 89 pips from the opening price then there is a 78.88 percent chance that this will be an downday.
The [R3] or the most extreme high trading range is 1.8085.
The [R2] or the extreme high trading range is 1.8047.
The [R1] or the high trading range is 1.8007.
The [P] or pivot point is 1.7969.
The [S1] or the low trading range is 1.7929.
The [S2] or the extreme low trading range is 1.7891.
The [S3] or the most extreme low trading range is 1.7851.
Next Day Alternate Stops for Wednesday Dec 03, 2008.
The red line to the right on your chart is an extreme support or resistence level for the next trading day.
A good alternative stop is one which is placed just beyond this extreme support/resistance level.
In this particular case if the price rises above 1.8047 then that would show momentum against 4xGenie’s short position and that would be a break out to the upside.
Please Note: These support/resistance levels are calculated by using the previous day’s trading range. Normal volatility may cause a breakout of this value once every 4 or 5 days when prices consolidate.
Alternate stop: 1.80
Current Forex Day Trading Session:
Momentum is continuing downward at the present time.
Next Day Trading Session:
If the next day’s close is above 1.86693 then that could be a sign that the current downward momentum is reversing.
FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK
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Forex Trade Alert and Gold Commentary
Monday, December 01, 2008.
Before I get started with the forex markets, I wanted to take a brief moment to direct your attention to a headline on Yahoo Finance. “FDA sets melamine standard for baby formula”.
That’s right. A certain “amount” of something toxic is “ok” they say. Well, they are wrong. The reason for this, is so that China can keep exporting to America, and the Fed can print dollars to make up for the difference in the trade deficit. Also, China can buy Us T-Bills in order to pay for it all, and the Us can then pay them interest on the T-Bills. Of course, we’re smarter than that.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081129/infant_formula.html
Gold and Dollar
Gold is back. With another Fed bailout looming, there seems to be no end to it. As money supply expands, money becomes worth less. In fact, money is becoming worth less all over the world. So, gold may just be making a comeback here. We avoided gold for several months and rightfully so. I never just “hang on” because of “fundamentals”. Because often fundamentals become “funny-mentals”. Thinking of a Christmas present? Why not the Olympic Gold Coins? https://online.kitco.com/bullion/
$775.00 is the lowest I would pay for gold. If it goes lower than that, the chart changes, and it becomes too risky a trade. If strength holds, above $775.00, then I would be a buyer.
Lots of Trading Forex Opportunities Coming Up.
Overall, I’d expect some good trading opportunities here. Who knows when the next big market fall could be. Perhaps in March, as it historically has been over several of the past years.
For now, I am looking forward to many exciting forex trading opportunities.
Maybe US DOLLAR Run will come to the end soon, because usually GOLD and U.S DOLLAR
DON’T RUN IN SYNC.
Good Trading,
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